May 18, 2012

Blue Norther Stakes

Friday and Saturday were both excellent racing days. Fabulous Strike switched his style up in the Grade 3 Gravesend Handicap, rating in second before accelerating to an easy 1 1/4 length victory. Indian Blessing was all business, taking the Grade 1 La Brea in a similar fashion. Perhaps my favorite race in this two day span was the Grade 1 Malibu. Just as I had predicted, Bob Black Jack lulled them to sleep on the front end and found the winners circle. His price was ripe at $12 considering the short field. The connections are now considering a trip to Dubai. I don’t know if he is quite that good, but I wish them luck.

The Blue Norther at Santa Anita looks like the best stakes race left this weekend. Two-year-old fillies will be racing one mile on the turf. My top selection will be Oro Blanco at 6-1, who is coupled with Streetscape. Trained by Marcelo Polanco and piloted by Joe Talamo, the daughter of Hold For Gold finished third by five lengths in the Grade 1 Oak Leaf Stakes as a maiden. She enters this race after an easy maiden win and looks primed for a big run. I don’t think there is much speed in this race, so her close stalking style should be an advantage. She is hard to go against at 6-1.

Internally Flawless is the 8/5 ML favorite. Bob Baffert has opted to remove the blinkers which she has ran with in all three of her starts. She closed with a fury last out in the Grade 3 Mieseque and just missed the win by 3/4 of a length. April Pride is also an interesting entry. Grade 3 placed in Britain, she finished 11th in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf in her only U.S. start. The daughter of Falbrav should move up this time, and offers value at 5-1.

1st- Oro Blanco

2nd- Internally Flawless

3rd- April Pride

$2 Exacta (1,3,7 BOX)

$2 Trifecta (1,3/1,3,7/1,2,3,6,7)

Grade 1 Malibu Stakes


Let me start off by making one thing clear. The Malibu Stakes is not an easy one from a handicapping perspective.  It’s been a long time since I’ve seen a race as truly balanced as this one. Entrants range from Travers winner Colonel John, CashCall Futurity winner Into Mischief, and Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf winner Nownownow.

The seven furlong distance, which I’ve heard people refer to as the “Devil’s Distance” further complicates the situation. It’s not long enough to give a router like Colonel John a clear advantage, and its not short enough for Bob Black Jack, the six furlong world record holder, to easily take them wire to wire.

Georgie Boy is the only Grade 1 winner at the distance, taking the Del Mar Futurity. The gelded son of Tribal Rule enters the race after a second place to Into Mischief in the Damascus Stakes. Both horses were racing for the first time in over six months. Into Mischief took the race quite easily, so I’m going to eliminate Georgie Boy as a potential winner.

On the other hand, Into Mischief looks very tough, and has been tabbed the 2/1 ML favorite. This will likely be his last race according to owner B Wayne Hughes, so I expect them to “bring it”.  He will be retired to Hughes stud farm where he will stand for a fee of $12,500. Winning this one would certainly attract some mares!

Eoin Harty says Colonel John shouldn’t have any problems. He expects the son of Tiznow to run well. This is typical of him, as he said the same thing prior to both the Kentucky Derby and the Breeders Cup Classic. I can’t blame the guy for being optimistic, but from handicapping standpoint we can disregard this. He is lethal at distances over a mile, but I don’t know how he will fare shortening up to seven furlongs. I’m going to look elsewhere, but I would certainly include him on my exotic tickets.

My top selection will be the speedy Bob Black Jack. He is a bonefied front runner and may have things his own way on the front end. His best performance this year came in the SunShine Millions Dash, where he shattered the six furlong world record, stopping the clock in a stunning 1:06 2/5. He also put in a strong effort when finishing second in the Santa Anita Derby. Let’s hope Bob Black Jack runs them off their feet at 9/2.

CashCall Futurity

The spotlight in the racing world will be on the Grade 1 CashCall Futurity at Hollywood Park this Saturday. This race is for two-year-olds, and will be contested at 1 1/16 on the Cushion Track. Six CashCall Futurity starters have gone on to win the Kentucky Derby, including names such as Alysheba, Thunder Gulch, and Real Quiet. Due to the staggering purse of $750,000 the winner is virtually guaranteed a spot in the Kentucky Derby. Into Mischief took the race last year under Victor Espinoza for trainer Richard Mandella.

With a large field of twelve, this event is sure to be competitive. The most notable entry is Pioneerof The Nile, who joined the Bob Baffert barn after finishing a close fifth in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Prior to that race he was a distant third to Square Eddie in the Grade 1 Lanes End Breeders Futurity at Keeneland. The son of Empire Maker has been working well for Baffert and looks poised for a career effort.

I like Axel Foley to win this race. Named for Eddie Murphy’s character in Beverly Hills Cop, he broke his maiden in his second career start at Lingfield in Great Britain for trainer John Best. The son of Officer earned a Racing Post Rating of 81 for that race. Blood-Horse quoted assistant trainer, Martin Smith, saying: “The jockey who rode him that day just smacked him once and said he could get a mile and a quarter,”. If he can win the CashCall Futurity, it would the first step on the long road to the Kentucky Derby. He will be racing with lasix for the first time, and the odds of 12-1 make me like him even more.

Other contenders include Azul Leon, Chocolate Candy, and Bittel Road. Most recently second in the Grade 3 Hollywood Prevue, Azul Leon has to prove he can get the distance in this one. He is a Grade 2 and Grade 3 winner at distance under one mile. Chocolate Candy will be entering this race after a victory in the Real Quiet Stakes. Bittel Road is a Grade 3 winner on the turf, but will be trying Cushion Track for the first time.

I’m probably going to put some win money on Axel Foley if he goes off at a price higher than 8-1. Lets not forget that his connections are the same ones who connected with Square Eddie in the Lanes End Breeders Futurity at 10-1. I’ll use Pioneerof The Nile, Azul Leon and Bittel Road for my exotics. Good luck, and Merry Christmas!

Bejarano Looms Large on SoCal Sweep

I’ve been saying for a long time that Rafeal Bejarano is the best jockey in the United States. On the verge of sweeping the Southern California jockey titles, he continues to prove me right. The Peruvian wunderkind is currently riding 21% winners, and is finishing in the money a whopping 57% of the time.

Rafeael Bejarano, or “Rafi” as we at the track affectionately call him, is just 26 years old. He is doing something in only his second year on the circuit that has only been done twice in the past, and by legends. Chris McCarron swept the circuit in 1983, and the rambunctious Patrick Valenzuela did it again in 2003.

Undoubtedly, his most remarkable win on the circuit since moving his tack to Southern California came for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer in the Santa Anita Handicap. Sent off at odds of 7-1, Bejarano was able to hold off Go Between late, while in the irons of Heatseeker. Unfortunately for the connections and racing fans alike, Heatseeker sustained a career ending injury later in the year and was forced to retire to stallion duty. Check out the video of his bold victory above.

My favorite win of the year for Rafi came in the Grade 1 Lanes End Breeder’s Futurity at Keeneland. Piloting Square Eddie in his first U.S. start, he won easy and at the juicy price of 10-1. I remember the day particularly well, because a friend called and asked who I liked. I told her about this European colt who looked to be coming into his own. Too bad I was broke at the time, or I would’ve bet him as well.

Total earnings for the year currently stand at $15,734,892, which is second only to Garrett Gomez. I’m sure it wont be too many more years before Rafeal Bejarano shatters that record too!

Kip Deville Headed To Hong Kong

Exercise rider Michelle Nevin says that Kip Deville isn’t too happy that he lost to a girl in the Breeders Cup Mile. She even said he is “ticked off”. It’s good to know the son of Kipling still has some fire in his belly, because he is headed to Hong Kong to compete in the prestigious Hong Kong Mile.

I bet Kip Deville in the Breeders Cup, and unfortunately I was a year late. I still think he is a great horse and should compete in Hong Kong. Rick Dutrow said he simply got beat by a better horse and he has no qualms with that. He also stated that Kip has been training well since the Breeders Cup. Kip Deville will arrive in Hong Kong on Monday along with Michelle Nevin. The biggest problem for him may be running the “wrong way”, and he will be training as such leading up to the race.

I always root for the American horse overseas regardless of who it is. I’ll be cheering hard for Kip Deville and I hope he wins this one. Whether you like Rick Dutrow or not, there is no denying his ability as a trainer. I think he will do a great job getting Kip ready for this one.

The Hong Kong Mile takes place at Sha Tin race horse in Hong Kong (Who would’ve guessed?!). It was contested at seven furlong until 1999 when it took its current name and distance. To the best of my knowledge, Eishin Preston is the last U.S. bred horse to win the race. He took the race in 2001, and went on to win back to back editions of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup.

I’m not sure what time the race will take place back here in the States, but I hope to be able to watch this event live. Regardless of who wins, its great to see that international racing is thriving.

Better Talk Now

Every sport has its warriors who seem to play forever. I watched a repeat of the Roy Jones Jr. fight last night, and he just isn’t the same guy I’m used to watching. The Roy Jones Jr. I know is fast and arrogant and one of the best boxers alive. He was struggling to keep up in this fight, but still hung in there for the entire twelve rounds.

Near the end of the fight you could see Jones talking to his opponent, Joe Calzaghe. I’m not sure what he was saying, but it was probably something like “you can’t knock me out”. Although Jones was made to bleed for the first time in a fight and was clearly going to lose, he still had that swagger you except from a champion.

Better Talk Now, winner of the 2004 Breeders Cup Turf and earner of $4.2 million will return to racing at the age of 10. Just like Jones, Better Talk Now is well past his prime. The son of Talkin Man is winless since taking the Grade 1 Manhattan at Belmont Park in 2007. That isn’t to say he hasn’t put together some nice performances.

In his attempt to defend his Manhattan title in 2008, he was forced to check hard while making a winning move. He then went on to finish third in the Grade 1 Man O’ War, taking on Horse of the Year, Curlin and 2006 Breeders Cup Turf winner, Red Rocks. Better Talk Now would follow that up with his best finish of the year, a second place performance in the Grade 1 Sword Dancer Invitational.

He has been racing in Grade 1 company consistently for over two years, and though he isn’t winning, he is running well. With a drop to Grade 3, or even Grade 2 company he could probably win several races in 2009. Trainer Graham Motion said a win in a Grade 1 race, preferably the Manhattan, would be the goal for this year. Better Talk Now has been one of my favorite horses over the years and I would like nothing more than for them to accomplish that goal. Good luck old boy!

Horse Racing Park

Checking my stable and training my horses is one of the first things I do in the morning. I like to have my horses on the track at Golden Gate and ready for their workouts bright and early. Russell Baze is usual up if I want to give them a handily work. Just like in real life, Baze is one of the best riders at Horse Racing Park.

Horse Racing Park, or HRP for short, is a virtual horse racing game. I’ve been an owner/trainer there since July of 2006. The game mimics reality to a tee and is an alternative for those of us who cant quite afford a real horse. Horse can be claimed for as little as $1, or bred for $8.

HRP has most of the real tracks in the United States. Such high level tracks as SA, HOL, AQU and CD race frequently. Lower level tracks such as RD, TUP, TDN, and SUF are also found at Horse Racing Park. MNR operates as the “free track” for new owners. It is the same as any other track minus the competition and entry fees. Just like the real tracks at HRP, the jockeys are almost all names you have heard. You can use favorites like Garrett Gomez and John Velazquez to pilot your horses.

You can race for free, or against other trainers for money. Most of the normal races contain purses from $1 to $100, but the purses for stakes races can go as high as $5,000. You also have the option to buy and sell horses in the auction. Horses can be purchased in the auction for as little as $1 and there are always bargains to be found. The winner of this years Breeders Cup Juvenile was sold for $127 in March!

Have you always wanted to win the Kentucky Derby?  How about the Breeders Cup Classic? HRP gives you the chance to do just that. They card 95% of the stakes races that take place in real life. I recently won the Grade 3 Kentucky Cup Juvenile with my homebred colt, Entourage.

HRP
also has breeding. I am going to use Entourage as my first in house sire at the end of his three-year-old campaign.  You can breed with your own horses, or you can pay a stud or lease fee. Horse Racing Park also has their own version of the DRF, called the SRF.

There are plenty of things I haven’t mentioned for you to explore. If you sign up through my link by clicking Horse Racing Park or HRP anywhere in this post, you will get 5 free horses. Head on over to HRP and check it out for yourself. What are you waiting for?!

Auction Thoughts

The sale at Keeneland has been quite eventful. I’ve seen more than a few bargains slip through the auction ring, along with some horses who sold for massive prices. Stardom Bound, winner of the 2008 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies, was the best buy at $5.7 million. IEAH purchased her and she will evidently be trained by Richard Dutrow who wouldn’t let them stop bidding. I don’t think they are going to regret their purchase of the filly that Mike Smith has called “Baby Zenyatta”.

The first progeny of several star racehorses also passed through the sale. Among them are sons and daughters of Bernardini, Aragorn, Bluegrass Cat, First Samurai, and Flower Alley. I’m really interested to know how the Bluegrass Cat foals pan out. He was magnificent at 2 and 3 and is royally bred. He is a son of Storm Cat, and his broodmare sire is AP Indy. I don’t think it gets much better than that!

Better Than Honour, the broodmare of Belmont Stakes winners Jazil and Rags to Riches sold for a record price of $14 million to Southern Equine Stables. She is also the broodmare of Japanese sensation Casino Drive. Mike Moreno described her as “priceless”. That’s hard to argue with.

Hystericalady went for $3 million. She had a great 2008 campaign but she met her match in Zenyatta just like many fillies and mares before her. Hystericalady will probably be remembered most for her second place finish in the 2007 Breeders Cup Distaff. Her racing career is most likely over.

I can only imagine spending this kind of money on a racehorse, or anything for that matter. I’m sure many horses slipped through unnoticed in $10-100k range that we will hear about in the future. Lets not forget, Big Brown sold for $60k as a yearling. I could perhaps afford a horse of that price when I’m done with college. Hopefully Big Brown will pale in his comparison. I’m not holding my breath.

Rare Blend Stakes

The next two weeks cant pass fast enough. I didn’t realize how much I rely on my laptop until I couldn’t use it! My brother has kindly allowed me to use his computer so I’m able to blog in between working and studying. I’m just itching to get to the track and play one of my favorite tracks, Aquduct. They will be racing the Rare Blend Stakes there on Wednesday. It is a minor stakes for three-year-old fillies and up, contested at 8.5 furlongs on the turf. It has drawn a contentious field of 12.

Namaste’s Wish will be racing for Bill Mott and she looks like the class of the field. Her best race this year was a second place finish in the Grade 3 Virginia Oaks. She will have John Velazquez in the irons. He is one of my favorite jockeys. The daughter of Pulpit should take up a stalking position a few lengths from the pacesetters.

Remarkable Remy has been racing well for John Kimmel in the second half of the year, but her post position of 12 is a concern. Her most recent performance was a win in the $100,000 Pebbles Stakes at Belmont Park. She closed from well back in that race. JJ Castellano will be piloting this one, and she looks competitive if she can overcome her post position.

Never Retreat will be making her turf debut. After being thrashed by Music Note not once, but twice she ran third in a minor stakes. She is from the sire Smart Strike. He sired the 2007 Breeders Cup Turf winner, English Channel. She has been working well, but will have to step her game up if she is going to win this event.

I’ll go with Namaste’s Wish to find the winners circle. Who do you like? Click here to take a look at the past performances!

The Weekend That Wasn’t

I was incredibly dissapointed with the Breeders Cup this year. The synthetic surface had a severe and pronounced effect on the outcome of the races. This is my number one complaint.  I was also dissapointed with the performance of our American horses. The Europeans made us look BAD. They took 5 of 9 races on Saturday, and finished second 4 times.  I hated watching the seemingly bulletproof Curlin shorten stride in the stretch.

We will have to endure another year at Santa Anita, but thankfully the series will be returning to Churchill Downs in 2010. That day can’t come soon enough. On a final note, don’t mistake how I feel about Santa Anita. I LOVE the place and I can’t wait to see it in person.

Like I said previously, I absolutely HATE how the Europeans dominated the series. Our horses are better than they ran. Imagine how well we would’ve done if we didn’t retire horses before their prime. Horses like Bernardini, Hard Spun, Street Sense, and Citronnade would’ve surely been top choices had they been left in training and held their form.

I believe had the Breeders Cup taken place on a dirt surface, Curlin would’ve won. Watching him lose this race was like watching your favorite team go down in the Super Bowl. I hope he stays in training long enough to go out on a winning note. I’m sure he will be just as prolific in the shed as he was on the track.

In the end I’m a horse racing fan regardless of what happens. These things just bugged me a little bit and I wanted to get them off my chest.  Feel free to leave a comment and let me know what you think. I don’t know about you, but I’m already counting down the days until the Kentucky Derby!