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May 10, 2008

5/10 (SAT) G2 Peter Pan S.- BEL

The 2-1 favorite Casino Drive looks pretty tough in this spot. He was heavily bet in his debut and came through with an a 11 length romp in Japan. Since then, he has trained well in the US and is pointing for the Belmont. Tomcito (6-1) made a nice finishing move in the shorter Lexington Stakes. Although he finished 6th he was just 3 ¾ lengths behind the winner. Let’s not forget he ran third to Big Brown. Golden Spikes (3-1) was second last out in the Illinois Derby. Edgar Prado picks up the mount, and he has done very well on top level 3 year olds this year.

1st- Casino Drive (2-1)

2nd- Tomcito (6-1)

3rd- Golden Spikes (3-1)

Plays:

$5 Exacta Box: Casino Drive/Tomcito

$2 Trifecta: Casino Drive/Tomcito, Golden Spikes/ Ready’s Echo, Mint Lane, Tomcito, Golden Spikes BEST BET

5/10 (SAT) G3 Lone Star Derby - LS

I’m not wild about the favorite Samba Rooster (9/5) but the race seems to set up for him. I’m also encouraged by the fact that Garrett Gomez is making the trip to Texas to retain the mount. You will get two horses if you opt for Samba Rooster, but the other entry doesn’t look like much. Leonides (10-1) has only been off the board once in 5 starts while facing tough company. Vladamir Cerin’s colt ran well in his only dirt start at Turf Paradise. This will be his first time going farther than 7 furlongs. I expect good things. King Silver’s Son ran a game second to the now injured Sierra’s Sunset. He bounced next out in the Arkansas Derby, but I expect him to come back this time around.

1st- Samba Rooster (9/5)

2nd- Leonides (10-1)

3rd- King Silver’s Son (12-1)

Plays:

$2 Exacta: Samba Rooster/ALL

5/10 (SAT) G3 Senorita S.- HOL

Not an easy race to figure out if you ask me. I’m going to go with Bobby Frankel’s filly Lovely Isle (4-1). She set the pace in the Santa Anita Oaks before fading two back, and I think her front running style will benefit her in this spot. P.S.U. Grad (6-1) looks like a nice play at those odds. She is making her second turf start and I expect her to improve. I expect favorite Sweeter Still (5-2) to check in third.

1st- Lovely Isle (4-1)

2nd- P.S.U. Grad (6-1)

3rd- Sweet Still (5-2)

Plays:

$2 Exacta Box: Lovely Isle, P.S.U. Grad, Sweeter Still

5/10 (SAT) G3 Los Angeles H.- HOL

Doppio (5-1) looks pretty tough here. He has already beaten two of his foes in this race (Street Boss, Sailor’s Sunset). His last run wasn’t bad, but I’m not saying it was good either. He finished 8th by 5 in a Grade 2 at Keeneland, but had to go 7 wide into the turn. Look for him when they cross the wire. Street Boss (5/2) ran a monster race last out. He has just cleared NW2 and NW3 so lets see how he handles stiffer company today. Bonfante should round out the trifecta in this one.

1st- Doppio (5-1)

2nd- Street Boss (5/2)

3rd- Bonfante (9/2)

Plays:

$5 Exacta: Doppio/ Street Boss, Bonfante

$5 Exacta: Street Boss, Bonfante/ Doppio

$2 Trifecta: Doppio/ Street Boss, Bonfante/ Street Boss, Bonfante, Bilo, High Standards

5/10 (SAT) G3 Bold Ruler H.- BEL

CC Lopez made the right choice when he chose to retain the mount Executive Fleet (5/2). He looks like he should cruise, but he isn’t without competition. The Argentinean bred Lucky Island (7/2) has reeled off two impressive wins in a row. Kiaran McLaughlin has a knack for this type of horse. We will find out how good he really is today. Bill Mott’s Forefathers (3-1) has been excellent at this distance, posting a 5-2-2-0 record. His only off the board finish at 6 furlongs was in the Breeders Cup Sprint.

1st- Executive Fleet (5/2)

2nd- Lucky Island (7/2)

3rd- Forefathers (3-1)

Plays:

$2 Trifecta: Executive Fleet/ Lucky Island, Forefathers/ Lucky Island, Forefathers, Man of Danger

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