Grade 1 Forego

Grade 1 Forego (8/30/08)

#2 First Defence- This colt is a real fighter. It’s a rare occasion to see this colt finish far back. Whether he is stalking the pace or setting it, First Defence almost always shows up to race. He should love this seven furlong distance, and Bobby Frankel knows how to place horses. JJ Castelano has ridden this colt in every start of his career, but Channing Hill will be up for this event. You can certainly make a case for him to win this. First Defence is a must use on all exacta, trifecta, and superfecta tickets.

#1 Forefathers- I’m glad Mott finally got a win under this colts belt. He did emphatically too, drawing off by six and a half lengths. He looks to be improving, and if I’m right he will run big. A switch from Desormeaux to Prado may benefit the colt. Fans of this colt will have to hope for fast fractions. He has to show that last race wasn’t a fluke, but I see good things in this colts future.

#3 Eternal Star- Having achieved five wins from six starts in minor stakes this year, Trombetta has brought this four year old colt to Saratoga to face the big boys. He has beat some nice horses, including Xchanger. Id definitely include this one of the bottom part of my trifectas and superfectas, but I don’t know if he is good enough to win here.

#4 Bold Start- Couldn’t get past Eternal Star last time out. This McPeek trainee looks nice, but I don’t think he is ready for Grade 1 competition yet. He may stumble in for fourth but I don’t see much more than that happening.

#5 Ferocious Fire- Has only lost once in nine starts facing exceptionally weaker horses. His last win isn’t as nice as it looks, since the race came off the turf. I’m going to toss this one.

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#1 Premium Wine- Claimed a victory in his third start since a layoff last time out. He showed a liking for this seven furlongs distance earlier in the year when he finished a close third in the Grade 1 Carter Handicap. I love his running style for this race, and he should right there late.

#6 Real Estate- Sired by son of Storm Cat, Yield. Blinkers really did the trick for this colt who is two for two since having them added. He has some vicious speed, setting a 21 4/5 and 44 3/5 quarter and half mile last time out. I really like this colts chances at 15-1. Be sure to include him on all exacta, trifecta, and superfecta tickets.

#7 Lucky Island- Has dominated the New York sprint scene since arriving earlier this year. He has improved every time he has stepped on the track this year, and this is his race to lose. He will be hard to beat, but I’m going to try. Use this horse on all exacta, trifecta, and superfecta tickets.

#8 Greeley’s Conquest- Winner of the Prarie Meadows Sprint isn’t nearly fast enough to hang with these. Don’t include him on your tickets.

#9 Tasteyville- Back to seven furlongs after another attempt at routing. Was second to Lucky Island in the Grade 2 Tom Fool. He may be able to grab third or fourth in this race, but I don’t see much more happening for this son of With Approval.

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1st- First Defence
2nd- Lucky Island
3rd- Forefathers

Plays:
$1 Trifecta (2,6,7/2,6,7/1,2,6,7,8)
$1 Superfecta (2,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7,9/1,2,6,7,9)