
by Martin Noonan
Over 27,000 fans at Keeneland yesterday were not only treated to a beautiful Kentucky fall day but they also witnessed Aiden O’Brien’s Irish bred filly Together romp in the Queen Elizabeth II returning $11.20 to her backers. Her victory not only proved that she is a great race horse, but because she so soundly defeated the post time favorite, Winter Memories, it proved once again how dominate European turf runners are over their American counterparts. The result of this race raises the question as to whether the American turfers can finally capture the Breeders Cup Mile, or will three time winner Goldikova win the race for the fourth time, breaking her own record.
Goldikova was foiled in Ireland in 2005 but spent much of her racing career in France under the watchful eye of trainer Freddy Head. Freddy Head is no stranger to the Breeders Cup Mile as he not only was Goldikova’s trainer in her 2008, 2009, and 2010 victories, but he also won the race twice as a jockey in 1987 and 1998 aboard the great French runner Miesque. Goldikova has won 17 of 26 races and over $6.8 million in her career. She will likely be the post time favorite as well as the favorite of those who like to watch history in the making as Goldikova tries for his fourth consecutive Breeders Cup Mile victory.
But, is Goldikova’s quest for history in jeopardy? She has lost three of her last four starts. While she has not disgraced herself in any of those G1 races, her trainer has been quoted as saying that “maybe she does not have the same turn of foot as she used to and maybe the mileage is starting to catch up”. Goldikova’s regular jockey, Olivier Peslier has hinted that she may not take to the soft turf.
The logical horse to beat Goldikova would be Christophe Clement’s three-time Eclipse Award winner, Gio Ponti. Gio Ponti has 12 wins in 28 starts and has earned slightly more than $6 million in his career. He finished second to Goldikova in last year’s event. Gio Ponti is likely to be the second favorite at 7-2 and certainly the sentimental favorite as this will be the last race of his career. Although Clement calls New York his home, he was born in and honed his trade in France. Clement is notorious for being an excellent turf trainer.
After winning the Shadwell Mile at Keeneland, Clements comments were positive excusing Gio Ponti’s less than stellar races this year as “a bit of bad luck”. After watching Gio Ponti’s second in a row Shadwell victory you have to conclude that he is an improving race horse. Ramon Dominquez gets the mount for the 6 year old son of Tale Of The Cat. If the turf is firm this could be Gio Ponti’s year.
All things considered the Breeders Cup Mile looks to be a rematch from last year race. However, what would a race analysis be without a longshot possibility or a “feel good” story. That possibility is provided by a 5 year old son of Stormy Atlantic, Get Stormy.
Get Stormy finished second in the Shadwell Mile behind the late surging Gio Ponti. The 13 to 1 longshot rated behind front running Sidney’s Candy to the top of the stretch. When asked by his jockey Garrett Gomez, he found a new gear charging to the lead in the middle of the track only to be nipped at the wire by the heavily favored Gio Ponti. In all I thought Get Stormy ran a gutsy race in a very impressive performance.
Get Stormy is trained by a very good but very “under the radar” trainer, Tom Bush. Tom is mostly a New York based trainer and has a little bit of turf specialty. He has very high winning percentages at the Saratoga and Belmont meets but is much quieter in the winter. His horses are always placed well after the horse has had a race. Although Tom said that Get Stormy would have to have a big race to enter him in the Breeder’s Cup Mile, I think Tom got that race.
The Get Stormy team lost one of their members a short time ago. Tom Roach who bred and raised Get Stormy on his Parish Hill farm died this fall. The 63 year old Roach would always be on hand to watch Get Stormy whenever he ran in Kentucky. Most recently he was in the winner’s circle when Get Stormy won the Woodford Reserve Turf Classic at Churchill Downs and Keeneland’s Grade 1 Makers Mark Mile.
Get Stormy missed most of the Saratoga meet with a tendon issue but recovered in time for a second place finish in the Bernard Baruch. According to Bush, Get Stormy “is a big heavy horse that takes a lot of training”.
I’m betting that Get Stormy will move forward from his performance in the Shadwell Mile and perhaps hold off Gio Ponti and an aging Goldikova for a Breeders Cup upset.
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