
Can Soldat run well on a fast dirt track? I said he could and made him my top pick to win the Fountain of Youth Stakes. He proved me right by drawing clear to a 2 length wire to wire victory over Gourmet Dinner. The son of War Front covered the 1 1/8 miles distance in a lukewarm time of 1:50 1/5.
This race ran exactly as I thought it would as I predicted the winner and second place finisher. Not saying much as the exacta was only $13.80 for $2. I had a great feeling To Honor And Serve wouldn’t run well. Fortunately, I was right. Unfortunately, there still wasn’t much money to be made.
I don’t know how strong of a prep the Fountain of Youth will end up being, but I do know that I am increasingly wary of races at Gulfstream Park. There were 3 wire to wire winners in 6 dirt races and 2 of the other winners were in second most of the way. It is no big secret that Gulfstream favors speed, but that is sort of ridiculous. How will Soldat fare when he gets on the Churchill Downs dirt? I don’t think it will bother him, but you never know until they try. I’m hoping the Gulfstream track isn’t making him look better than he actually is. For now the connections have to feel good as they are the early favorite to win the Florida Derby in 5 weeks.
After Soldat the other big story was Flashpoint. The son of Pomeroy scored a very easy win in the Grade 2 Hutcheson Stakes for troubled trainer Richard Dutrow and jockey Cornelio Velasquez. He stalked Travelin Man before over taking him for a 7 1/4 length win. Travelin Man was able to stay on for second 3 lengths in front of 50-1 shot Little Drama. I’m skeptical about this race. The 1-2 finishers were exiting maiden wins. In my eyes, their performances were mostly due to the speed bias. Dutrow is already eying the Florida Derby for Flashpoint. Who can blame him? I would try too.
One of the most impressive winners of the day was R Heat Lightning in the Davona Dale. She made a move from fifth and blew away favored Dancinginherdreams. This was very surprising for me as I thought she was on the way out. On the contrary, she may just be getting started. I’ll give her extra points for running against the bias too.
Another impressive run came in the third race which was an allowance event for three-year-olds at the distance of 9 furlongs. Nacho Business was making his second start and finished second after being keen to go much of the race. He will be much improved next time. I have a feeling he could be a factor in some of the summer stakes races such as the Jim Dandy if he improves like I think he can and will.
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